the future belongs to the fertile

By Diogenes (articles ) | Oct 20, 2005

Writing in the U.K. Spectator, Mark Steyn gives Russia a grim prognosis:

Russia is literally dying. From a population peak in 1992 of 148 million, it will be down to below 130 million by 2015 and thereafter dropping to perhaps 50 or 60 million by the end of the century, a third of what it was at the fall of the Soviet Union. It needn't decline at a consistent rate, of course. But I'd say it's more likely to be even lower than 50 million than it is to be over 100 million. The longer Russia goes without arresting the death spiral, the harder it is to pull out of it, and when it comes to the future most Russian women are voting with their foetus: 70 per cent of pregnancies are aborted. ...

At a time when Russian men already have a life expectancy in the mid-50s -- lower than in Bangladesh -- they're about to see AIDS cut them down from the other end, killing young men and women of childbearing age, and with them any hope of societal regeneration. By 2010, AIDS will be killing between a quarter and three-quarters of a million Russians every year. It will become a nation of babushkas, unable to muster enough young soldiers to secure its borders, enough young businessmen to secure its economy or enough young families to secure its future. True, there are regions that are exceptions to these malign trends, parts of Russia that have healthy fertility rates and low HIV infection. Can you guess which regions they are? They start with a 'Mu-' and end with a '-slim'.

So the world's largest country is dying and the only question is how violent its death throes are. Yesterday's Russia was characterised by Churchill as a riddle wrapped in a mystery inside an enigma. Today's has come unwrapped: it's a crisis in a disaster inside a catastrophe.

Wasn't there a Slavic chap recently who had something to say about a Culture of Life?

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  • Posted by: - Oct. 23, 2005 3:26 PM ET USA

    Imagine 2100 AD: Russia with 50 mil pitiful former Orthodox, China with 2 bil to the East, and 100+mil Moslems to the South. Europe with 100 mm former Catholics outnumbered by Moslems (already 20%). Now, the USA today - below replacement birth rates, including Catholics, and yet a very rapidly growing Moslem pop. Catholics are led astray by self over God's Will. God likes big Catholic families. Help them. Have one. Fight back. Throw away your b.c. and your NFP! Trust God. Grow, and go, up.

  • Posted by: Brennan - Oct. 22, 2005 5:52 PM ET USA

    Benbernie, The word is "Russia." That is the country the Blessed Virgin Mary asked to have consecrated. Obviously, this is not the forum to get into a debate over this, there is no space. You can go to if you wish. Personally, I think the reason the lack of prayer for Russia is brought up is the obvious discrepancy between saying Russia has been consecrated, and then observing the complete non-conversion of Russia.

  • Posted by: - Oct. 22, 2005 3:36 PM ET USA

    Brennan, I have not been able to reconcile your position with the actions and assertions of God's Representative and the agreement of Sr. Lucia. Regardless of seeming loose ends the Holy Spirit would not play games with the Faithful. A literalism that hangs on a single word is not reasonable. For me, the catch-up of JP II was too late. And the consecration was not isolated from the reality of unchanged hearts and penance. There was none.

  • Posted by: Brennan - Oct. 21, 2005 2:52 PM ET USA

    Benbernie, I agree completely that the changes to Russia in '89 do not amount to any sort of a "conversion" of Russia, and this recent article is just one more example of that. However, I would say the real reason the conversion did not take place is because Russia was not consecrated in 1984 as it was not even mentioned in the consecration formula.

  • Posted by: - Oct. 21, 2005 12:47 PM ET USA

    Change to USSR in '89 didn't mean the conversion of "Russia". Unless we repent and pray and do penance, "Russia will spread its errors throughout the world." We never really did. Isn't the result obvious? Abortion, atheism, materialism, anti-family programs, the supremacy of the State, secularism, religious suppression, etc. are now the accepted and growing practice all over the world, especially Europe, USA. All we can do is pray God will have mercy on our children. Seems we blew it.

  • Posted by: - Oct. 20, 2005 10:42 PM ET USA

    According to a couple of Brit economists, the main cause of Russian male mortality is an epidemic of 'zapoi', a peculiar form of chug-a-lug binge drinking. Liquid Russian Roulette.

  • Posted by: Brennan - Oct. 20, 2005 7:30 PM ET USA

    But wasn't Russia consecrated to the Immaculate Heart of Mary in 1984? And thus hasn't she converted?!

  • Posted by: - Oct. 20, 2005 7:03 PM ET USA

    Belloc had it right so long ago. If the west does not get its houses in order by taking a hard look at what built our civilization, we are destined to have Muslim masters. The utter abandonment of God's law in Russia during the Soviet era, and the moral free-for-all that is taking place now lead to consequences of nature. Their civilzation is dying. Man does not control nature. Russia has tried and is committing cultural suicide.

  • Posted by: - Oct. 20, 2005 7:00 PM ET USA

    Sounds like the best investment bet is in mortuaries, abortuaries, and hospice programs. What a sad story for a sad country.