Action Alert!

Sampling error

By Phil Lawler (bio - articles ) | Oct 11, 2004

In two polls released today, Zogby finds Kerry leading Bush by 47- 44%, while the Washington Post has Bush leading Kerry, 51- 46.

The Washington Post admits that its poll could be off by +/-3%. Zogby concedes up to +/-2.9%; to keep things simple, let's say they're both claiming accuracy to within 3%.

Go ahead; do the math.

Phil Lawler has been a Catholic journalist for more than 30 years. He has edited several Catholic magazines and written eight books. Founder of Catholic World News, he is the news director and lead analyst at See full bio.

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  • Posted by: - Oct. 11, 2004 12:54 PM ET USA

    OK. If Kerry leaves Washington D.C. on a train going 60 mph and Bush leaves Los Angeles on a plane going 350 mph and the arc of the plane's flight is sin 3x/2pi but Kerry leads Bush by 47% to 44% in the polls....Dang, Phil this is hard. Can't you just give us the answer?