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Sampling error

By Phil Lawler (bio - articles ) | Oct 11, 2004

In two polls released today, Zogby finds Kerry leading Bush by 47- 44%, while the Washington Post has Bush leading Kerry, 51- 46.

The Washington Post admits that its poll could be off by +/-3%. Zogby concedes up to +/-2.9%; to keep things simple, let's say they're both claiming accuracy to within 3%.

Go ahead; do the math.

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  • Posted by: - Oct. 11, 2004 12:54 PM ET USA

    OK. If Kerry leaves Washington D.C. on a train going 60 mph and Bush leaves Los Angeles on a plane going 350 mph and the arc of the plane's flight is sin 3x/2pi but Kerry leads Bush by 47% to 44% in the polls....Dang, Phil this is hard. Can't you just give us the answer?

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