Junk polls and realism, cont.
If you're hoping for a Bush victory in November, don't let yourself get too comfortable with those nationwide preference polls. Again, the nationwide count doesn't matter. What matters is the vote in the Electoral College.
According to the latest Zogby poll of the crucial "battleground states," if the election had been held yesterday, Kerry would have won-- fairly comfortably.
As Zogby sees it, if you leave out the states where the margin is too close to call, Kerry leads the race, by an Electoral College count of 254- 236, with another 48 "votes up for grabs."
An appeal from our founder, Dr. Jeffrey Mirus:
Dear reader: If you found the information on this page helpful in your pursuit of a better Catholic life, please support our work with a donation. Your donation will help us reach five million Truth-seeking readers worldwide this year. Thank you!
Our Fall Campaign
Progress toward our final 2013 goal ($26,649 to go, assuming receipt of matching funds):
All comments are moderated. To lighten our editing burden, only current donors are allowed to Sound Off. If you are a donor, log in to see the comment form; otherwise please support our work, and Sound Off!
Posted by: -
Sep. 23, 2004 11:04 AM ET USA
If anyone's interested, I've found the following website to be fascinating to watch: http://www.electoral-vote.com/ All polls should be taken with a grain of salt, but this site does a pretty good job of tracking them all as they are released. It's amazing how much things change from one day to the next...
Posted by: Brad -
Sep. 22, 2004 4:08 PM ET USA
The electoral college poll that C-SPAN has been showing shows Bush comfortably ahead with over 300 electoral votes. Not sure what source they use but it is much more comforting.